Government waives part of a Biden-era fine against Southwest Airlines

The U.S. Department of Transportation is waiving part of afine assessed against Southwest Airlinesafter the companycanceled thousands of flightsduring a winter storm in 2022.

Under a 2023 settlement reached by the Biden administration, Southwest agreed to a $140 million civil penalty. The government said at the time that the penalty was the largest it had ever imposed on an airline for violating consumer protection laws.

Most of the money went toward compensation for travelers. But Southwest agreed to pay $35 million to the U.S. Treasury. Southwest made a $12 million payment in 2024 and a second $12 million payment earlier this year. But the Transportation Department issued an order Friday waiving the final $11 million payment, which was due Jan. 31, 2026.

The department said Southwest should get credit for significantly improving its on-time performance and investing in network operations.

"DOT believes that this approach is in the public interest as it incentivizes airlines to invest in improving their operations and resiliency, which benefits consumers directly," the department said in a statement. "This credit structure allows for the benefits of the airline's investment to be realized by the public, rather than resulting in a government monetary penalty."

The fine stemmed from awinter stormin December 2022 that paralyzed Southwest's operations in Denver and Chicago and then snowballed when a crew-rescheduling system couldn't keep up with the chaos. Ultimately the airline canceled 17,000 flights and stranded more than 2 million travelers.

The Biden administration determined that Southwest had violated the law by failing to help customers who were stranded in airports and hotels, leaving many of them to scramble for other flights. Many who called the airline's overwhelmed customer service center got busy signals or were stuck on hold for hours.

Even before the settlement, the nation's fourth-biggest airline by revenue said the meltdown cost itmore than $1.1 billionin refunds and reimbursements, extra costs and lost ticket sales over several months.

Government waives part of a Biden-era fine against Southwest Airlines

The U.S. Department of Transportation is waiving part of afine assessed against Southwest Airlinesafter the companycancel...
Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents take people they detained earlier to a parking lot before transferring them to an ICE facility in Chicago. (Jamie Kelter Davis / Getty Images)

More than a third of the roughly 220,000 peoplearrested by ICE officersin the first nine months of the Trump administration had no criminal histories, according to new data.

The data, which includes ICE arrests from Jan. 20 to Oct. 15, shows that nearly 75,000 people with no criminal records have been swept up in immigration operations that the president and his top officials have said would targetmurderers, rapists and gang members.

"It contradicts what the administration has been saying about people who are convicted criminals and that they are going after the worst of the worst," said Ariel Ruiz Soto, senior policy analyst at the Migration Policy Institute.

The figures provide the most revealing look to date into the Trump administration's immigration crackdown. They were shared by the University of California, Berkeley'sDeportation Data Project, which obtained them through a lawsuit brought against Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

The data is compiled by an internal ICE office that handles arrest, detention and deportation data. The administration stopped regularly posting detailed information on ICE arrests in January.

For arrestees with criminal histories, the data doesn't distinguish between those with a history of minor offenses and those who have committed more serious crimes, like rape and murder, whom the administration has said it is targeting.

And the figures do not include arrests made by Border Patrol, which has launched aggressive immigration operations in several cities, including Chicago, Los Angeles and Charlotte, North Carolina. Border Patrol sweeps are currently underway inNew Orleans.

Border Patrol and ICE are both under the Department of Homeland Security but they are two different agencies with two different missions. Border Patrol agents typically operate along the southern and northern borders, but recently hundreds have been sent into the interior of the United States to track down undocumented immigrants.

"That is the black box that we know nothing about," Ruiz Soto said. "How many arrests is Border Patrol doing? How many of those are leading to removals and under what conditions?"

A Department of Homeland Security spokesperson did not respond to requests for comment.

ICE field offices have been under intense pressure to ramp up arrests.

In mid-May, White House deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller threatened to fire senior ICE officials if they did not begin arresting at least 3,000 migrants per day,NBC News previously reported.

But the new data shows that ICE is still falling well short of those targets.

ICE agents have made an average daily total of 824 arrests since Jan. 20, according to the data. Those figures are still more than double the average daily arrest total under the Biden administration in 2024, when ICE arrested 312 people per day.

The data also reveals that about 90% of the people ICE arrested through mid-October were male. Mexican nationals accounted for the largest share of the overall arrests, with about 85,000, followed by nationals of Guatemala at 31,000 and Honduras at 24,000.

More than 60% of those who were arrested were between the ages of 25 and 45.

"Now we're really feeling that pain in the workforce," said George Carrillo, chief executive officer of the Hispanic Construction Council.

Carrillo praised the Trump administration for its efforts to secure the border but said the ongoing enforcement operations are having a significant impact on companies that employ migrant workers.

"Now even the most conservative Republicans are feeling it and understanding that, hey, something different has to be done because now it is affecting their businesses," he said. "And they're worried about this strategy."

It's not clear from the data how many of those who were arrested were deported, but 22,959 are listed under the category of "voluntary departure," meaning they left the United States of their own accord.

ICE is currently holding 65,000 migrants in detention centers around the country, according to DHS data posted online.

ICE has arrested nearly 75,000 people with no criminal records, data shows

More than a third of the roughly 220,000 peoplearrested by ICE officersin the first nine months of the Trump administration had no criminal...
An XRoom escape room in Dnipro, Ukraine, on Nov. 22. (Den Polyakov for NBC News)

For some, being trapped in a confined space as zombies leap out with chain saws would be a nightmare. But just 100 miles from the front line with Russia, some Ukrainians see it as a chance to escape bigger problems in everyday life.

While officials remain locked in negotiations to end the war, Russian drones and missiles keep pounding Ukraine's energy infrastructure, plunging entire neighborhoods into darkness as temperatures plunge.

At his escape room in Ukraine's eastern city of Dnipro, Igor Nazarenko is one of many business owners finding new ways to keep things running during the hourslong power outages.

An expanded lineup of horror-themed rooms, designed to unfold in twilight or complete darkness, can operate whether the power is on or off, Nazarenko, 38, told NBC News in a telephone interview last month.

In Ukraine, escape rooms continue to attract customers despite the disruptions brought by war. (Den Polyakov for NBC News)

Escape rooms — immersive experiences where visitors are locked inside an enclosed space and must find clues to make their way out — are "booming in popularity" in Ukraine, Nazarenko said.

Nazarenko said his escape-room chain, XRoom, hit a record number of visits last month, even as operating without electricity became increasingly difficult.

The business' escape rooms rely mainly on interactive performances, where hired actors physically engage with the participants, frightening them or giving them clues.

With war-related stress now woven into the fabric of his customers' daily lives, visitors now "want more pain" — and are open to more physical, thrill-seeking experiences that allow them "to switch from everyday worries and feel strong emotions in controlled conditions," Nazarenko said.

"Conveniently, this can be done in the dark and doesn't require centralized electricity," he added.

Scheduled energy outages are leaving many residents and businesses without light for eight to 16 hours a day. (Den Polyakov for NBC News)

As temperatures drop and the hours of darkness grow longer, Moscow has intensified its bombardment of Ukraine's power plants and substations — a tactic it has deployed every year since the start of its full-scale invasion in 2022.

Winter in Ukraine is typically snowy and cold, with temperatures between December and March sometimes plunging to as low as minus 4 degrees Fahrenheit, according to data from the World Health Organization's latest winter risk assessment for Ukraine.

This year, emergency power cuts have been imposed across Ukraine since early October, in what the Ministry of Energy said were necessary steps to stabilize the grid. As repair work continues, scheduled outages are leaving many residents and businesses without light or heat for eight to 16 hours a day.

Emergency Power Outages In Kyiv Amid Russian Attacks On Energy Infrastructure (Frontliner via Getty Images)

Large businesses have tackled the problem by investing heavily in generators and alternative energy sources, but for Ukraine's small businesses, the price tag is often too steep.

"We wanted to buy a large generator, but they have now doubled or tripled in price," said Iryna Golotina, co-owner of Under Wonder restaurant in Kyiv.

In a phone call with NBC News, Golotina, 46, said she, like many other small businesses, had been forced to get creative to keep the doors open and customers happy.

The restaurant created special "Black Menus," featuring only dishes that can be prepared without electricity.

At first, they used candles for backup lighting, "then we made lanterns from string lights and placed them in large vases, creating glowing decorative pieces that our guests loved," she said.

Golotina said on one night when the power suddenly came back on, diners immediately asked the staff to switch off the lights again because the lanterns made the atmosphere more "magical."

Some customers told her it reminded them of a dining hall from "Harry Potter," she said.

XRoom host a variety of escape rooms, including events that are horror-themed. (Den Polyakov for NBC News)

Kyiv remains a frequent target of Russia's deadly drone and missile attacks.

Moscow maintains it only selects targets tied to Ukraine's military infrastructure, despite the repeated strikes on apartment blocks, heating stations and the country's already fragile energy network.

Analysts say Russia is seeking to erode morale, pushing daily life to its limits and tightening pressure on an economy already weakened by nearly four years of war.

Mark McNamee, former managing director of London-based business consulting company FrontierView, said that Ukraine's economy continues to be relatively resilient, but is "definitely being deeply tested."

XRoom hit a record number of visits in October, even as operating without electricity became increasingly difficult. (Den Polyakov for NBC News)

Every economic sector is currently being affected by the power outages, with manufacturing sectors "the hardest hit," he said in an email last month. Manufacturers in eastern Ukraine have experienced "more severe and frequent attacks," he added.

Service industries haven't escaped the ripple effects either, McNamee said, with closures of retail stores and other businesses during attacks or blackouts affecting consumers' moods.

This means that fewer people feel inclined to leave their homes or spend money, he added, which adds even more pressure on companies already struggling to stay afloat.

Evgen Primachok, an entrepreneur from Kyiv, said he had long dreamed of running his own business. He opened Khoryv Coffee in September 2022, just a week or two before the country experienced its first wave of wartime power outages.

At the time, he said, customers flocked to his generator-powered cafe seeking warmth and Wi-Fi. But when outages returned this year, he said, many people had adapted their homes with backup energy sources, meaning far fewer ventured out to the coffee shop.

UKRAINE-RUSSIA-CONFLICT-WAR (Sergei Gapon / AFP via Getty Images)

"It was extremely difficult," Primachok said in a video interview. "For two months, people barely left their homes. Everyone just stayed inside."

To keep Khoryv Coffee afloat, Primachok also said he had to get creative, rebranding as a community haven instead of a simple coffee shop.

"Right now, you cannot just sell coffee and earn from it," he said. "We have to practically bend over backwards to make more people interested and come to us. We had chess-playing nights, music nights, old Ukrainian movie screenings and more."

A candlelit poetry evening at Khoryv Coffee in Kyiv. (Khoryv Coffee)

The cafe has also hosted speaking events with Ukrainian military personnel who talked about their experiences on the front lines. "One time, they brought a wing of a Shahed drone, which we've put up [on] our wall as a decoration," Primachok said.

Despite the cafe's success, Primachok, 25, shares the same anxieties as many Ukrainian business owners.

"It's very unsettling to dream about something while knowing that tomorrow or the next day you could die in the war," he said. "Then I might never get the chance to fulfill my dream as an entrepreneur."

Ukrainians get creative to keep businesses alive amid winter blackouts

For some, being trapped in a confined space as zombies leap out with chain saws would be a nightmare. But just 100 miles from the front lin...
Ominous drone sightings caused panic a year ago. What really happened?

In late 2024, Americans were gripped with the mystery of what seemed at first like an invasion of drones over New Jersey and other East Coast states. One year later,some of that mystery has been explained, but questions linger about exactly what happened.

It all started in November 2024 with reports of possible drones flying near thePicatinny Arsenal military research centerin Morris County, New Jersey. More sightings at the facility were reported in the following weeks. Soon, Americans in other East Coast states and even politicians claimed to have seen drones.

Reports of drone sightings surged in November and December, prompting government agencies to investigate and politicians to demand answers.Speculation swirled about what or who could be behind the sightings. Were they sent by a foreign enemy? Were they a sign of the U.S. government spying on civilians? Were they even drones at all, or were people seeing things that weren't there?

Little evidence has emerged to support the most fantastic theories.

The sightings were a combination of things, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said in January 2025.

"In time, it got worse because of curiosity. This was not the enemy,"she said during her first formal press briefingof the second Trump administration. (Trump's transition team previously excoriated former PresidentJoe Bidenfor not sharing more information with the public in 2024).

A few major explanations have emerged:

  • Some were likely research drones: The Trump administration has confirmed that some of the sightings were actual drones, authorized by the Federal Aviation Administration to conduct research. Others were hobbyist drones.

  • Some weren't drones at all: Many reports turned out to be airplanes or other sources of light in the night sky. Even stars were thought to be drones, authorities said.

  • 'Confirmation bias' makes studying the phenomenon challenging. By Dec. 16, 2024, the FBI and other agencies had received tips about over 5,000 possible drone sightings. That rash of sightings may have been fueled by the interest: "People are looking for this thing, they have a confirmation bias: 'Whatever I'm seeing, I bet it's one of those drones,'" said professor Matthew Sharps of California State University, Fresno, an expert on the psychological science of eyewitness cognition.

The FBI declined to comment in early December when asked for a final report on its investigative findings. The FAA, which also investigated, did not respond to a request for comment. Since early 2025, federal officials haven't said much more on the saga.

What happened in the New Jersey drone scare of 2024?

The first documented sighting of an unidentified object purported to be a drone was on Nov. 13, 2024, at Picatinny Arsenal. The facility said in mid-December that it had confirmed 11 sightings of drones since then, and seven other sightings that turned out to be airplanes. The facility said the drones weren't theirs and the source was unknown.

A few days later, Morris County in New Jersey said officers on patrol also spotted drones and were investigating the issue. More officials and law enforcement agencies soon joined in on investigating, as more reports circulated on social media and lawmakers began demanding answers.

"Is the public at risk?" Rep. August Pfluger, R-Texas, asked FBI official Robert W. Wheeler Jr. during a congressional hearing in December 2024. "Are we concerned there are nefarious intentions that could cause either an actual security or public safety incident?"

"There's nothing that is known that would lead me to say that," Wheeler said. "But we just don't know. And that's the concerning part of it."

Clusters of drones were reported in states including New York and Pennsylvania. Some of the sightings were at military installations, and then-President-electDonald Trump's golf club in Bedminster, New Jersey.

In November and December 2024, people reported seeing drones in central and northern New Jersey. In some cases, airplanes and other light sources were mistaken for drones.

As the rumor swirled, the FAA implemented temporary drone flight restrictions near critical infrastructure in New York and New Jersey.Trump suggested the drones should be shot down. New Jersey Rep.Jeff Van Drew, a Republican, speculated the drones could be coming from an Iranian "mothership,"a suggestion that was rejected by the Pentagon. Former Gov. Chris Christie said he, too, saw a drone near his house.

So-called drones were sometimes just planes, stars: FBI

Though federal agencies haven't released a full report of their investigations, a document as part of a review was made public by the Department of Homeland Security earlier in 2025 that summarized four different sightings in November and December 2024.

In one of the incidents, on Nov. 26, 2024, a medevac helicopter attempting to land was diverted due to purported drones spotted close to it. The so-called drones were actually three commercial aircraft aligned in a way that they appeared from the ground to be hovering like drones, the review document said. The other incidents reviewed were also explained by aircraft.

The Biden administration initially struck a similarly cautious tone.

"We assess that the sightings to date include a combination of lawful commercial drones, hobbyist drones and law enforcement drones, as well as manned fixed-wing aircraft, helicopters and even stars that were mistakenly reported as drones," former Biden White House spokesperson John Kirby said on Dec. 16, 2024.

Why were so many people seeing drones?

There's a psychological phenomenon that can help explain some of the chaos, said Sharps, who wrote the book "The Forensic View: Investigative Psychology, Law Enforcement, Space Aliens, Exploration, and the Nature of Madness." The study of eyewitness memory tells scientists that people's preconceived notions and beliefs can help shape what they see. People are also primed to trust what authority figures say. In this case, Sharps said, people were first told there was a concerning sighting of drones by official sources.

"Once we've got a prior framework – 'there's something weird in the sky and I bet it's a drone' – we're going to start looking for it. We're going to see more stuff in the sky," Sharps said.

The use of social media to share about sightings also gives the feeling of being directly involved in the mayhem, and the further and faster spread of fascination – a kind of "psychological contagion," he said.

This type of thing has happened before. In 1942 soon after the United States entered World War II, many people believed that Los Angeles was under an air attack by Japan when no air raid happened at all. During the so-called Battle of Los Angeles, reports of enemy aircraft flying in close proximity of the city and even of aircraft crashing prompted American forces to fire shrapnel into the air, some of which caused real damage when it fell back to the ground, Sharps wrote inPsychology Today. Residents in a panic tried to flee. Five people died in car crashes and from heart attacks.

But no Japanese aircraft were in the sky that night at all. The eyewitnesses, including military observers, were wrong. The most likely culprit for the chaos? Possibly, weather balloons were mistaken for enemy aircraft amid a tense time where people believed an attack was imminent.

"People's prior beliefs change the way they interpret what they see," Sharps said.

Contributing: Kyle Morel, NorthJersey.com

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:Mysterious drone sightings in 2024 prompt lingering questions

Ominous drone sightings caused panic a year ago. What really happened?

In late 2024, Americans were gripped with the mystery of what seemed at first like an invasion of drones over New Jersey ...
AI-powered police body cameras, once taboo, get tested on Canadian city's 'watch list' of faces

Police body cameras equipped withartificial intelligencehave been trained to detect the faces of about 7,000 people on a "high risk" watch list in the Canadian city of Edmonton, a live test of whether facial recognition technology shunned as too intrusive could have a place in policing throughout North America.

But six years after leading body camera maker Axon Enterprise, Inc. said police use of facial recognition technology posed serious ethical concerns, the pilot project — switched on last week— is raising alarms far beyond Edmonton, the continent's northernmost city of more than 1 million people.

A former chair of Axon's AI ethics board, which led the company to temporarily abandon facial recognition in 2019, told The Associated Press he's concerned that the Arizona-based company is moving forward without enough public debate, testing and expert vetting about the societal risks and privacy implications.

"It's essential not to use these technologies, which have very real costs and risks, unless there's some clear indication of the benefits," said the former board chair, Barry Friedman, now a law professor at New York University.

Axon founder and CEO Rick Smith contends that the Edmonton pilot is not a product launch but "early-stage field research" that will assess how the technology performs and reveal the safeguards needed to use it responsibly.

"By testing in real-world conditions outside the U.S., we can gather independent insights, strengthen oversight frameworks, and apply those learnings to future evaluations, including within the United States," Smith wrote in a blog post.

The pilot is meant to help make Edmonton patrol officers safer by enabling their body-worn cameras to detect anyone who authorities classified as having a "flag or caution" for categories such as "violent or assaultive; armed and dangerous; weapons; escape risk; and high-risk offender," said Kurt Martin, acting superintendent of the Edmonton Police Service. So far, that watch list has 6,341 people on it, Martin said at a Dec. 2 press conference. A separate watch list adds 724 people who have at least one serious criminal warrant, he said.

"We really want to make sure that it's targeted so that these are folks with serious offenses," said Ann-Li Cooke, Axon's director of responsible AI.

If the pilot expands, it could have a major effect on policing around the world. Axon, a publicly traded firm best known for developing the Taser, is the dominant U.S. supplier of body cameras and has increasingly pitched them to police agencies in Canada and elsewhere. Axon last year beat its closest competitor, Chicago-based Motorola Solutions, in a bid to sell body cameras to the Royal Canadian Mounted Police.

Motorola said in a statement that it also has the ability to integrate facial recognition technology into police body cameras but, based on its ethical principles, has "intentionally abstained from deploying this feature for proactive identification." It didn't rule out using it in the future.

The government of Alberta in 2023 mandated body cameras for all police agencies in the province, including its capital city Edmonton, describing it as a transparency measure to document police interactions, collect better evidence and reduce timelines for resolving investigations and complaints.

While many communities in the U.S. have also welcomed body cameras as an accountability tool, the prospect of real-time facial recognitionidentifying people in public placeshas been unpopular across the political spectrum. Backlash from civil liberties advocates and a broader conversation about racial injustice helped push Axon and Big Tech companies to pause facial recognition software sales to police.

Among the biggest concernswere studies showingthat the technology was flawed, demonstrating biased results by race, gender and age. It also didn't match faces as accurately on real-time video feeds as it did on faces posing for identification cards or police mug shots.

Several U.S. states and dozens of cities havesought to curtailpolice use of facial recognition, though President Donald Trump's administration is now trying to block or discourage states from regulating AI.

The European Union banned real-time public face-scanning police technology across the 27-nation bloc, except when used for serious crimes like kidnapping or terrorism.

But in the United Kingdom, no longer part of the EU, authorities started testing the technology on London streets a decade ago and have used it to make 1,300 arrests in the past two years. The government is considering expanding its use across the country.

Many details about Edmonton's pilot haven't been publicly disclosed. Axon doesn't make its own AI model for recognizing faces but declined to say which third-party vendor it uses.

Edmonton police say the pilot will continue through the end of December and only during daylight hours.

"Obviously it gets dark pretty early here," Martin said. "Lighting conditions, our cold temperatures during the wintertime, all those things will factor into what we're looking at in terms of a successful proof of concept."

Martin said about 50 officers piloting the technology won't know if the facial recognition software made a match. The outputs will be analyzed later at the station. In the future, however, it could help police detect if there's a potentially dangerous person nearby so they can call in for assistance, Martin said.

That's only supposed to happen if officers have started an investigation or are responding to a call, not simply while strolling through a crowd. Martin said officers responding to a call can switch their cameras from a passive to an active recording mode with higher-resolution imaging.

"We really want to respect individuals' rights and their privacy interests," Martin said.

The office of Alberta's information and privacy commissioner Diane McLeod said she received a privacy impact assessment from Edmonton police on Dec. 2, the same day Axon and police officials announced the program. The office said Friday it's now working to review the assessment, a requirement for projects that collect "high sensitivity" personal data.

University of Alberta criminology professor Temitope Oriola said he's not surprised that the city is experimenting with live facial recognition, given that the technology is already ubiquitous in airport security and other environments.

"Edmonton is a laboratory for this tool," Oriola said. "It may well turn out to be an improvement, but we do not know that for sure."

Oriola said the police service has had a sometimes "frosty" relationship with its Indigenous and Black residents, particularly after the fatal police shooting of a member of the South Sudanese community last year, and it remains to be seen whether facial recognition technology makes policing safer or improves interactions with the public.

Axon has faced blowback for its technology deployments in the past, as in 2022, when Friedman and seven other members of Axon's AI ethics board resigned in protest over concerns about a Taser-equipped drone.

In the years since Axon opted against facial recognition, Smith, the CEO, says the company has "continued controlled, lab-based research" of a technology that has "become significantly more accurate" and is now ready for trial in the real world.

But Axon acknowledged in a statement to the AP that all facial recognition systems are affected by "factors like distance, lighting and angle, which can disproportionately impact accuracy for darker-skinned individuals."

Every match requires human review, Axon said, and part of its testing is also "learning what training and oversight human reviewers must have to mitigate known risks."

Friedman said Axon should disclose those evaluations. He'd want to see more evidence that facial recognition has improved since his board concluded that it wasn't reliable enough to ethically justify its use in police cameras.

Friedman said he's also concerned about police agencies greenlighting the technology's use without deliberation by local legislators and rigorous scientific testing.

"It's not a decision to be made simply by police agencies and certainly not by vendors," he said. "A pilot is a great idea. But there's supposed to be transparency, accountability. ... None of that's here. They're just going ahead. They found an agency willing to go ahead and they're just going ahead."

AP writer Kelvin Chan in London contributed to this report.

AI-powered police body cameras, once taboo, get tested on Canadian city's 'watch list' of faces

Police body cameras equipped withartificial intelligencehave been trained to detect the faces of about 7,000 people on a ...
College football Top 25 rankings prediction for US LBM Coaches Poll before CFP release

There will be a new No. 1 in theUS LBM Coaches PollafterIndiana beat Ohio State 13-10to remain the only unbeaten team in the Bowl Subdivision.

The Hoosiers' historic run will continue as the No. 1 team in theCollege Football Playoffrankings. Look for theBuckeyesto drop two spots to No. 3 whileGeorgiaclimbs to No. 2.

There won't be anAlabamateam in the top 10, either, after the Crimson Tide were pushed around by Georgiain a 28-7 loss for the SEC championship.

Texas Tech capped a dominant run through the Big 12 by beating Brigham Young for the second time this season. Having an extra win than Oregon, along with better wins and a conference championship, gives theRed Raidersenough ammunition to climb into the top four.

Alabama's third loss will drop the Crimson Tide out of the top 10 and potentially out the playoff as well. Look for Miami to climb back into the top 10 in the final Coaches Poll of the regular season.

Here's how the top 10 of the poll will look:

1.Indiana(13-0)

Besides landing the top playoff seed and being No. 1 in the poll for the first time, the win against Ohio State will probably deliver the Heisman Trophy to quarterback Fernando Mendoza, who threw for 222 yards on 9.7 yards per attempt and a score. Among other big throws, his 30-yard connection to Charlie Becker on a key third down late in the fourth quarter helped Indiana seal the win.

Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza (15) celebrates after his team's defeat of Ohio State in the 2025 Big Ten championship game at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

2. Georgia (12-1)

The Bulldogs will climb after beating Alabama and snap the Big Ten's stranglehold on the top two spots. Georgia was able to avenge an earlier loss to the Crimson Tide and deliver a second SEC championship in a row and third in four years.

3. Ohio State (12-1)

Don't be surprised if OSU gets a chunk of second-place votes and challenges Georgia for that spot, though voters will be more likely to reward the Bulldogs' SEC championship than the Buckeyes' close loss. Buckeyes still are in solid shape to make playoff run.

4. Texas Tech (12-1)

Somehow, Texas Tech lost toArizona State. Otherwise, the Red Raiders might've been the most dominant team in the Power Four. Take what they did to BYU, winning both games by a combined 49 points. Look for Tech to climb two spots from last week and move ahead of Oregon andOle Miss.

5. Oregon (11-1)

The Ducks will be jumped by the Red Raiders but will stand land comfortably as the host of an opening-round playoff game. Oregon was able to seal a playoff berth with a strong November highlighted by a win against Southern California.

6. Mississippi (11-1)

The Rebels are also looking to host in the opening round, and should get the nod despite losing Lane Kiffin to LSU. A rematch against Tulane - a team they routed in the regular season - will be a nice opener if that's how the draw shakes out.

7. Texas A&M (11-1)

The Aggies probably wouldn't beaten Alabama, too, had they not lost to Texas last weekend and cost themselves a spot in the SEC championship game. This is still the program's most successful regular season in decades.

8. Oklahoma (10-2)

That Alabama win looks a lot weaker, though that result was still enough to put Oklahoma in line for an at-large bid heading into games against Missouri and LSU to end the year. While neither win was pretty, they were enough to get the Sooners into the playoff after posting a losing record last season.

9. Notre Dame (10-2)

Notre Dame was able to breathe a little easier on Saturday after Alabama failed to put up much resistance against Georgia. That shifted the playoff debate from Notre Dame and Miami to the Crimson Tide and Hurricanes, giving theFighting Irishless reason for concern heading into Sunday's selections.

10. Miami (10-2)

Miami is the clearest pick to replace Alabama. One, BYU lost to Texas Tech. Two, Vanderbilt had a great year but will have a weaker résumé for the Tide's loss. And three, Miami has looked the part of a top-10 team for all but a few days this season and will be a heavy contender for the playoff as an at-large pick.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:College football Top 25 poll rankings prediction: Is Indiana No. 1?

College football Top 25 rankings prediction for US LBM Coaches Poll before CFP release

There will be a new No. 1 in theUS LBM Coaches PollafterIndiana beat Ohio State 13-10to remain the only unbeaten team in ...
College football bowl projections: Notre Dame, Alabama edge Miami for CFP

The college football regular season is complete.. TheCollege Football Playofffield will be announced Sunday, Dec. 7. And yet after 15 weeks of play, there is still some mystery about which 12 teams will be part of the bracket.

The No. 1 spot is clear, however, afterIndiana took down Ohio Statein the Big Ten title game to earn the top seed in the field. Georgia looks set for the No. 2 spot afterits dominant SEC title victory against Alabama. Look for theBuckeyesto drop to No. 3 ahead of Texas Tech, which captured its first Big 12 championship.

The order of the next four teams which will have first-round home games should mirror last week's rankings with Oregon leading, Mississippi, Texas A&M and Oklahoma. After that, things get interesting.

There are two at-large spaces for three teams - Notre Dame,Alabamaand Miami. Many interpreted the move of the Crimson Tide to No. 9 ahead of theFighting Irishin last week's rankings as a sign that the Hurricanes were in position to move into the field from No. 12 if BYU lost. But there was another possibility. The change gives the committee the flexibility to bump Alabama back a place after a loss and give separation between Notre Dame and Miami. And that's the expectation of how this will shake out. The committee has consistently valued the Fighting Irish in a higher position and nothing from Saturday will change that.

Miami running back CharMar Brown (6) rushes the ball against Notre Dame during their game at Hard Rock Stadium.

Yes, Hurricanes fans will cry foul because of the head-to-head win against the Fighting Irish. But this isn't just a debate between those two teams. It's between three teams and the criteria to split those teams goes deeper than just that one data point.

There's also some drama about whether ACC champion Duke makes the field or the fifth conference champion spot goes to James Madison. But too many losses by the Blue Devils -especially two against Group of Five teams - make it likely the ACC is shut out of the field.

The rest of the postseason lineup is starting to come into focus with some teams accepting bids. Those schools are in bold below. All those spots will be confirmed Sunday after the playoff field is announced.

Notes: Not all conferences will fulfill their bowl allotment. An asterisk represents a replacement pick.Legacy Pac-12 schools in other conferences will fulfill existing Pac-12 bowl agreements through the 2025 season.

College football bowl predictions for CFP and full postseason

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:College football bowl projections: Notre Dame, Alabama get CFP spots

College football bowl projections: Notre Dame, Alabama edge Miami for CFP

The college football regular season is complete.. TheCollege Football Playofffield will be announced Sunday, Dec. 7. And ...

 

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